Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
US moves to block oil supply to Cuba, deepening energy crisis on the island. This represents escalation of economic sanctions and humanitarian concerns.
This represents continuation of longstanding US-Cuba sanctions policy rather than novel constitutional damage. A-score drivers: rule_of_law(3) for extraterritorial sanctions enforcement, civil_rights(4) for humanitarian impact on Cuban population, capture(2) for foreign policy establishment dynamics, violence(2) for indirect harm through energy deprivation. Severity modifiers reflect medium durability (sanctions can be reversed but entrenched) and reversibility (policy-based). Mechanism modifier 1.15 for policy_change, scope 1.3 for international with broad population impact. Base 12 yields final 21.5. B-score: Layer1 shows moderate outrage_bait(7) around humanitarian crisis, media_friendliness(6) for simple narrative, lower novelty(4) as sanctions continuation. Layer2 pattern_match(5) fits anti-authoritarian/Cold War narratives, narrative_pivot(4) enables Cuba policy debates. Intentionality low(4) - humanitarian framing present but not sophisticated manipulation. Final B 17.3. Neither threshold met (A<25, B<25), and this is routine foreign policy action without direct US constitutional mechanism, fitting noise profile for international sanctions continuation.
Monitor for: (1) Congressional challenges to executive sanctions authority, (2) Humanitarian exemption debates revealing separation of powers tensions, (3) Domestic political exploitation timing relative to Florida electoral politics. This scores as noise because it represents incremental foreign policy within existing frameworks rather than constitutional innovation or genuine distraction operation, though humanitarian impacts are real.