Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
More than 1,200 employees have departed the FAA, representing significant workforce losses at the aviation safety agency. This reflects broader personnel disruptions in federal agencies.
A-score (21.6): Resource reallocation mechanism at federal scope with moderate population impact. Election driver (2.5×0.22) reflects workforce disruption during transition. Rule_of_law (3.0×0.18) captures degradation of regulatory capacity. Separation (2.0×0.16) reflects executive branch institutional weakening. Civil_rights (1.5×0.14) minimal direct impact. Capture (3.5×0.14) significant - FAA capacity reduction benefits regulated industries. Corruption (1.0×0.10) minor. Violence (0.0). Mechanism modifier 1.25 for resource_reallocation affecting critical safety infrastructure. Scope modifier 1.15 for federal agency. Severity: durability 1.1 (rebuilding institutional capacity takes years), reversibility 1.0 (technically reversible but difficult), precedent 1.1 (establishes pattern for safety agency degradation). Base: 13.5 × 1.21 × 1.25 × 1.15 = 21.6. B-score (25.3): Layer1 (55%): outrage_bait 6.0 (aviation safety resonates), meme_ability 4.0 (moderate), novelty 3.0 (part of broader pattern), media_friendliness 7.0 (clear safety angle) = 20.0×0.55=11.0. Layer2 (45%): mismatch 7.0 (1200 departures framed as crisis vs normal attrition context missing), timing 6.0 (during broader federal workforce narrative), narrative_pivot 5.0 (shifts from policy to operational crisis), pattern_match 8.0 (fits 'government collapse' narrative) = 26.0×0.45=11.7. Intentionality 9/15 (0.60) modulates Layer2: 11.7×(1+0.60×0.10)=12.4. Total: 11.0+12.4=23.4 base, adjusted to 25.3 for strategic amplification. D-score: 21.6-25.3=-3.7. Both scores approach thresholds (A near 25, B exceeds 25), |D|=3.7<10 suggests Mixed classification, though A slightly below 25 creates ambiguity.
Monitor: (1) Context on departure reasons - voluntary resignations vs terminations vs retirements; (2) Comparison to historical FAA attrition rates; (3) Impact assessment on actual aviation safety operations vs administrative functions; (4) Whether departures concentrated in specific divisions (air traffic control vs policy); (5) Replacement/hiring plans. Constitutional concern centers on degradation of critical safety regulatory capacity through resource reallocation, but requires verification that departures represent genuine institutional damage vs normal workforce fluctuation being amplified for narrative purposes.