Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
Missouri Governor Mike Kehoe called a special legislative session to redraw congressional district maps in response to Trump's call for GOP-favorable redistricting. This represents partisan gerrymandering efforts ahead of the 2026 elections.
High A-score (33.8) driven by election integrity concerns (4.2/5): special session called explicitly to redraw maps for partisan advantage represents direct manipulation of electoral machinery. Rule of law (3.1) and civil rights (3.4) elevated due to dilution of voting power and equal representation. Mechanism modifier 1.25 for election_admin_change affecting fundamental democratic process. Severity multipliers: durability 1.2 (maps locked for decade), reversibility 0.9 (courts can intervene), precedent 1.15 (Trump directive creating pattern across states). Scope 0.85 for single state but moderate population impact. B-score (27.2) also substantial: Layer 1 driven by outrage_bait (7.5) around naked partisanship and media_friendliness (7.0) of gerrymandering narrative. Layer 2 timing (8.5) reflects strategic 2026 positioning and pattern_match (7.0) with multi-state GOP redistricting push. Intentionality 9/15 with explicit Trump call, special session mechanism, and partisan framing. D-score +6.6 places in Mixed territory (both scores >25, |D|<10), though closer to List A threshold. This is substantive constitutional damage with significant but not overwhelming hype amplification.
Monitor for: (1) Actual map proposals and partisan advantage metrics (efficiency gap, compactness scores), (2) Legal challenges and judicial response timeline, (3) Similar actions in other states responding to Trump directive to assess coordinated pattern, (4) Legislative process transparency and public input mechanisms, (5) Impact on competitive districts and minority representation. Key threshold: if maps show extreme partisan skew (>3 seat swing in 8-district state) or suppress minority voting strength, A-score increases to 38+. If courts quickly block or process becomes transparent with bipartisan input, reversibility improves and A-score moderates to 28-30 range.