Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
ICE conducted worksite raids in New York that resulted in family separations. This represents enforcement actions with significant humanitarian consequences.
A-score (21.71): Rule of law driver (3.5) reflects enforcement action within legal authority but with procedural concerns around family separation protocols. Civil rights driver (4.0) captures significant humanitarian impact on vulnerable population, though enforcement itself is legally authorized. Violence driver (1.5) reflects trauma/coercion inherent in family separation. Mechanism modifier 1.15 for enforcement_action with direct implementation. Scope 0.85 for single_state/moderate population. B-score (32.09): Layer 1 (6.6/12): High outrage_bait (4.5) - family separation generates visceral emotional response. High media_friendliness (4.0) - visual, narrative-rich story. Moderate meme_ability (2.0) and novelty (1.5) - worksite raids not unprecedented. Layer 2 (7.25/16.2): Strong timing (4.0) - aligns with broader immigration enforcement narrative. Pattern_match (4.0) - fits established political polarization template. Narrative_pivot (3.5) and mismatch (3.0) moderate. Intentionality 9/15 suggests coordinated enforcement messaging. Delta: -10.38 indicates distraction exceeds constitutional damage.
Monitor for: (1) Legal challenges to family separation protocols and due process violations, (2) Scope expansion to other jurisdictions indicating systematic policy shift, (3) Legislative responses affecting immigration enforcement authority, (4) Pattern of selective enforcement suggesting political targeting rather than neutral law application. Track whether enforcement creates durable precedent or remains isolated incident within existing legal framework.