Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
The United States imposes visa restrictions on Brazilian judicial officials in response to legal actions against former President Bolsonaro. The action represents diplomatic pressure on Brazil's judiciary.
A-score (16.37): Moderate constitutional concern. Separation of powers (4) reflects US executive interference with foreign judiciary, though indirect via visa policy. Rule of law (3) captures diplomatic pressure on judicial independence. Election (2) relates to Bolsonaro context. International scope reduces impact (0.7x). Information operation mechanism adds 1.15x for diplomatic signaling nature. Precedent modifier 1.1x for novel use of visa restrictions against judiciary. B-score (35.53): High distraction/hype. Layer 1 (24.2/44): Novelty (7) - unusual diplomatic tool; outrage bait (6) - sovereignty concerns; media friendliness (6) - clear narrative. Layer 2 (23.0/51): Mismatch (7) - visa restrictions disproportionate to stated concern; timing (5) - political context with Bolsonaro; narrative pivot (6) - shifts from domestic Brazilian judicial process to US-Brazil relations. Intentionality (9/15, weight 0.40) - clear diplomatic signaling with coordinated messaging. D-score: -19.16 strongly favors List B.
Monitor for: (1) actual implementation details and scope of visa restrictions, (2) Brazilian judicial response and sovereignty assertions, (3) whether restrictions affect ongoing Bolsonaro proceedings, (4) US domestic political motivations and constituency signaling, (5) precedent for similar actions against other nations' judiciaries. Track if this represents genuine rule-of-law concern or political theater in US-Brazil relations.