Weekly civic intelligence report · v2.2
Multiple GOP-led states move to follow Trump administration's lead in legally defining male and female categories. This represents coordinated state-level policy alignment with federal gender policy shifts.
A-score (17.67): Civil rights driver scores 3.5 for targeted policy affecting protected class status and identity recognition. Rule of law at 2.5 for coordinated state-level legal redefinition. Election driver 1.5 for political alignment signaling. Policy_change mechanism adds 15% modifier, multi_state scope adds 20%. Severity multipliers moderate (1.15×1.05×1.1=1.33) given reversibility through future legislation. B-score (27.23): Layer 1 (13.75/25): High outrage_bait (8) on culture war issue, strong media_friendliness (7), moderate meme_ability (6), lower novelty (4) as gender policy debates ongoing. Layer 2 (9.45/21): Strong timing (7) coordinating with federal shifts, narrative_pivot (6) reinforcing culture war frame, pattern_match (5) with broader conservative policy coordination. Intentionality at 9/15 for clear coordinated alignment strategy, raising intent_weight to 14.5%. D-score: -9.56. B>25 and D<-10 qualifies as List B - strategic distraction with high hype relative to constitutional impact.
Monitor for actual implementation details, enforcement mechanisms, and legal challenges. Track whether policies create measurable barriers to services, documentation, or legal recognition. Distinguish between symbolic resolutions versus enforceable law changes. Watch for federal-state conflicts if policies contradict existing civil rights protections or create interstate recognition issues.