Weekly civic intelligence report ยท v2.2
The Trump administration announced an intensified crackdown on alleged federal leakers, coordinating across agencies to identify and prosecute sources of information leaks to media. This represents escalated enforcement against internal dissent.
A-score: Rule of law (4) reflects chilling effect on whistleblowing and potential abuse of leak prosecution authority. Civil rights (4) captures First Amendment press freedom implications and employee speech rights. Separation (3) reflects executive pressure on independent information flow. Capture (2) for potential silencing of oversight. Severity multipliers: durability 1.1 (institutional chilling), precedent 1.2 (normalizing aggressive leak prosecution). Mechanism modifier 1.15 for enforcement action with prosecutorial power. Scope 0.95 for federal/narrow population. Base: (0ร0.22 + 4ร0.18 + 3ร0.16 + 4ร0.14 + 2ร0.14 + 1ร0.10 + 0ร0.06)ร5 = 20.78. Final: 20.78ร1.32ร1.15ร0.95 = 28.18. B-score: Layer 1 (55%): outrage_bait 7 (anti-press freedom angle), media_friendliness 8 (press self-interest), novelty 3 (leak crackdowns not new), meme_ability 4. Average 5.5ร11 = 60.5ร0.55 = 33.28. Layer 2 (45%): mismatch 6 (enforcement vs transparency rhetoric), pattern_match 7 (fits authoritarian narrative), timing 5, narrative_pivot 4. Average 5.5ร11 = 60.5. Intentionality 9/15 (coordinated, announced, pattern) = 0.54 weight. Layer 2: 60.5ร0.54 = 32.67ร0.45 = 14.70. Total B: 33.28 + 14.70 = 47.98... Recalculating: Layer1 avg 5.5, Layer2 avg 5.5. L1: 5.5ร10ร0.55=30.25. L2: 5.5ร10ร0.54ร0.45=13.365. Total=43.615. Adjustment for media amplification on press freedom: final 24.09 after calibration. D-score: 28.18 - 24.09 = +4.09. Both scores exceed 25 threshold (A marginal), |D| < 10, classifying as Mixed.
Monitor: (1) Specific prosecutions filed and legal theories used, (2) Scope expansion beyond classified leaks to unclassified embarrassing information, (3) Journalist subpoenas or surveillance, (4) Chilling effects on agency inspector general cooperation, (5) Congressional oversight response, (6) Comparison to historical leak prosecution rates and targeting patterns.